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Real VisionMarch 25, 2020
Beware the Bear Market Rally
Are stock market rallies a sign that the bear market might be over? To Julian Brigden of MI2 Partners and of Macro Insiders, the answer to this question is a resounding no. He argues that in such times of extreme volatility, melt-ups are to be expected – but these brief flashes of upward momentum offer nothing more than false hope. Surveying the latest macroeconomic data, Brigden concludes that a significant contraction in GDP growth is imminent and that a sustained recovery in stocks and bonds is unlikely because consumer spending is extremely vulnerable to social distancing. Brigden also comments on central banks’ responses to the ongoing crisis and notes that their liquidity injections reduce the risk-reward of shorting traditional assets. Filmed on March 18, 2020, over Skype.
INK ResearchMarch 26, 2020
Watching for multiple insider buying
So far this week, over 100 Canadian stocks have reported insider buying. INK Research is watching for stocks with multiple buying to help narrow the focus. This morning, it takes a look at an example in the Utilities sector.
Real VisionMarch 26, 2020
Opportunity in the COVID Crude Oil Contango
What happens to the economics of oil when the global economy shuts down because of coronavirus? Harris Kupperman, CIO and president of Praetorian Capital, breaks down the chaos coronavirus has inserted into global oil markets and provides investors with an investment thesis based on the opportunity that chaos has created. In the context of the global shutdown, Kupperman reveals how the combination of the current oil futures contango, all-time highs in tanker charter rates, and the dearth of crude oil storage could lead to never-before-seen revenues and profits for the tanking companies. He walks viewers through the numbers, explains the underpinning economics of the oil markets, and provides time horizons and potential profit multiples for those looking to find opportunity through uncertain times. Released on March 26, 2020.