Daily Briefing - June 1, 2020

Real VisionJune 01, 2020
Senior editor Ash Bennington hosts managing editor Ed Harrison to discuss how the roiling civil unrest in the U.S. could affect businesses and financial markets. They look at the correlation of the Citi Surprise Index and bond yields, and Ed introduces three historical parallels to compare to the current moment. In the intro, Jack Farley gives an overview of global PMI data and Goldman Sachs' revised forecast for the S&P 500.
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Other Real Vision Videos

Real VisionJuly 03, 2020
The Highest Quality Macro Trades and the Impending End of U.S. Outperformance
Ben Melkman, CEO and founder of Light Sky Macro, returns to discuss the biggest macro themes and trades on the horizon with Real Vision CEO and co-founder, Raoul Pal. In this wide-ranging discussion, they examine everything from COVID and the effects of its handling by the U.S. and Europe to the probability of fiscal union in Europe as well as the potential outcomes of the U.S. election. Melkman and Pal agree that the combination of unprecedented fiscal and monetary policy has to have unwanted consequences somewhere and that this likely will play out in FX markets. Conversely, Melkman pushes back on Raoul’s dollar shortage thesis, arguing that the dollar is in store for a rough 2020 and makes the case for the end of U.S. equity outperformance sooner rather than later. Filmed on Wednesday July 1, 2020.
Real VisionJuly 02, 2020
Daily Briefing - July 2, 2020
Senior editor Ash Bennington joins managing editor Ed Harrison to discuss the latest developments in markets, macro, and coronavirus. Bennington and Harrison dive into the June jobs report and talk about how it fits into the overall picture of the US's economic recovery. They also explore the implications and future trajectory of the coronavirus's spread and its continuing impact on the economy.
Real VisionJuly 02, 2020
Market Irrationality, Monetary Confidence, and Systemic Change
Peter Atwater, president of Financial Insyghts LLC, joins Dee Smith of the Strategic Insights Group to break down Atwater’s perspective on systemic fragmentation and how that will impact financial markets. Atwater breaks down the end of cycle phenomena of overconfidence, fraud, and an eventual recovery. He and Smith also discuss where market sentiment is headed from here. Atwater and Smith explain how markets act like the world’s most expansive social network and the role of money, markets, and faith in making that network work. Finally, Atwater breaks down the relationship between inflation and narrative and why markets have not seen the level of inflation that many have predicted. Filmed June 30, 2020.

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