"Pricking" Potential Bubbles in Stocks and Bonds

Real VisionFebruary 23, 2021
Are stocks in a bubble? How about bonds? Perhaps Bitcoin, too? Milton Berg, founder and CIO of Milton Berg Advisory, welcomes John Hussman, president of Hussman Strategic Advisors, for a conversation on these important questions. Hussman uses his custom equity risk-premium model to explain why, over the next twelve years, he expects the S&P 500 to return an average of negative 4%. Hussman compares the current moment to various historical periods where the S&P 500 underperformed Treasurys. Berg contends that peak-to-trough declines in equities will always result in long periods during which equities underperform Treasurys, and he notes that even buying high-quality stocks at peaks will turn a healthy profit if an investor have a sufficiently long time-horizon. Berg expounds on a bevy of highly favorable market technicals that indicate this rally could continue for some time. Filmed on February 19, 2021. Key learnings: Hussman argues that the S&P 500 will have a negative return for the next 12 years, whereas Berg maintains that, "bubble" or not, this rally will likely continue, both because the Federal Reserve is not worried about inflation as well several key market technical indicators. Hussman and Berg agree that speculative fervor is very notable in Bitcoin, but note that this does not mean it will go down soon.
Get access to daily trading ideas, trending topics, interviews and more!
Please subscribe to Insider Tracking Advantage Ultra

Other Real Vision Videos

Ampleforth: Ideal Reserve Currency
Real Vision senior editor Ash Bennington is joined by Evan Kuo, founder of Ampleforth, to discuss how Ampleforth was engineered specifically to satisfy characteristics of the ideal reserve currency. By working with Stanford's Hoover Institute for several years, Kuo and his team have been refining what it means to be a "good" reserve currency. A key innovation lies in their maneuver to substitute price volatility with supply volatility. Kuo's goal is to create the ultimate unit of account, resistant to demand shocks typically seen in business cycle contractions. Filmed on June 17, 2021.
Real VisionJune 23, 2021
Gold and The Dollar in the New Roaring 20s
As economies around the world reopen, Axel Merk, president & CIO of Merk Investments, shares his insights on central bank monetary policy, currencies, and equity valuations. Merk argues that the dollar will weaken as global economies attempt to reflate by borrowing dollars and investing domestically. He shares his framework for thinking about gold and inflation in response to Chair Powell's meeting and the FED dot plot. He believes that a market correction is possible and that investors should use current market strength to prepare themselves and reevaluate their risk appetite. Filmed on June 21, 2021.
Real VisionJune 22, 2021
Bitcoin Crashes as Stocks Flirt with All-Time Highs
Real Vision senior editor Ash Bennington welcomes Tommy Thornton of Hedge Fund Telemetry and to the Daily Briefing to discuss Bitcoin’s crash, FED Chair Powell’s testimony, and market sentiment as stocks rebound. The pair will cover potential explanations for Bitcoin’s reversal as well as implications for companies in the space such as Coinbase. Additionally, they will dive into both commodity and stock market reactions to FED Chair Powell’s testimony on the state of the economy. Special Festival of Learning offer - 10% off with the code DAILYBRIEFING. www.realvision.com/festival

Get an Insider Tracking Advantage Ultra subscription for

  • Insider filing email alerts
  • Access to premium INK Research reports
  • Full access to weekly North America Top filer reports
  • and more including access to INK Ultra Money

Only $9.99 per month (plus tax)!