Real Vision

Real VisionMay 20, 2020
Daily Briefing - May 20, 2020
Real Vision’s senior editor Ash Bennington and managing editor Roger Hirst analyze the latest developments in markets. Bennington and Hirst discuss the implications of fiscal burden-sharing in the European Union within the framework of French President Macron and German Chancellor Merkel’s recent joint proposal for a €500 billion aid fund. The pair also unpack the technical and supply and demand dynamics driving oil markets, the concentration risk in the largest stocks of the S&P 500, and key technical levels in US equity markets. During the intro, Real Vision’s Nick Correa discusses the reopening of Spain, and the unique hurdles the Spanish will face as they begin their journey to economic recovery.
Real VisionMay 20, 2020
Epidemics and Society: From the Black Death to the Coronavirus
The word “unprecedented” has been used frequently crisis to describe the ongoing pandemic, but Professor Frank Snowden, professor of history of medicine at Yale University and author of Epidemics and Society: From the Black Death to the Present, disagrees with this characterization. Snowden tells Pedro da Costa about how pandemics have imperiled societies, ranging from The Plague of Athens, to the Black Death, to the 1918 Spanish Flu. He traces how infections across history have shaped human destinies and identifies repeatable patterns in how they affect societies. Filmed on May 7, 2020.
Real VisionMay 19, 2020
Daily Briefing - May 19, 2020
Real Vision senior editor Ash Bennington hosts managing editor Ed Harrison to discuss the retracement of the S&P 500 amid a distressing Bank of America study that found that only 10 percent of fund managers are anticipating the V-shaped recovery that has been promised. Ed and Ash also explore the troubling stories coming out of Latin America, the trouble in the European banking sector, and the potential of a redenomination of the Euro into legacy currencies. In the intro, Jack Farley takes a closer look at PNC Financial’s sale of its stake in Blackrock.
Real VisionMay 19, 2020
The Remarkable Frequency of Once in a Lifetime Events
Pension funds and the hedge fund managers who invest on their behalf are trusted with the retirement savings of everyday people and that trust is based on the idea that those “experts” fully understand the risks that they are taking. Gontran de Quillacq, practitioner and expert witness for Navesink International, is the expert to the experts. When funds blow up and pensioners are left holding the bag, he can step in and testify as to whether these experts were actually behaving like amateurs or the victims of an unpredictable black swan event. In this conversation with Michael Green of Logica Capital Advisers, Gontran touches on his decades of experience trading complex and esoteric assets to explain why many of the models and common risk metrics like Sharpe ratio don’t capture the full picture of the risks that certain strategies employ. They examine how the recent sell-off has brought forward many of these risks, shown that once in a lifetime events tend to happen much more frequently than the models would suggest, and left behind the remains of fund managers who to the untrained eye looked like the smartest guys in the room. Filmed on May 14, 2020.
Real VisionMay 18, 2020
Daily Briefing - May 18, 2020
Real Vision Senior Editor Ash Bennington hosts Managing Editor Ed Harrison to make sense of a roaring day on Wall Street. They analyze the extreme bullishness in today's session through the lens of Fed Chair Powell's remarks, and discuss yield divergences in European sovereigns, as well as the valuation of European banks. In the intro, Jack Farley takes a look at recent 13F filings.
Real VisionMay 18, 2020
The Greatest Macro Environment of All Time
Mike Novogratz, founder and CEO of Galaxy Digital Holdings, is one of the most prominent advocates for digital assets and blockchain technology, but he’s also a successful and well-respected former macro hedge fund manager. In this interview with Real Vision CEO and founder, Raoul Pal, Novogratz puts his macro hat back on to help viewers make sense of a world in crisis. He explains how he thinks reopening will play out for different types of businesses, the political ramifications of the crisis on the U.S. presidential election, and the best macro trades he sees for 2020. He also discusses bitcoin, the effect of big names like Paul Tudor Jones declaring their bullishness, and his philanthropic endeavors in prison reform. Filmed on May 13, 2020.

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Real VisionJune 03, 2020
"Macro is Back, Baby"
Teddy Vallee, founder and chief investment officer of Pervalle Global, returns to Real Vision to discuss why he believes we are at the precipice of a new dawn for macro investing. He explains the different models he uses to estimate the profound economic deterioration occurring in the U.S., and he explains how this data is shaping his macro outlook. Vallee reveals his long-term view for U.S. equities and explains why he thinks bitcoin is the macro asset class that offers the most opportunity. He also makes the case for gold mining stocks, as well as certain emerging markets equities. Filmed on May 29, 2020.
Real VisionJune 02, 2020
Daily Briefing - June 2, 2020
Senior editor Ash Bennington hosts managing editor Ed Harrison to delve into whether the pandemonium in the U.S. will ever spread into capital markets. They analyze the historical performance of markets during times of civil unrest and explore whether U.S. equities have "priced in" the possibility that the ongoing mass protests in the U.S. could accelerate the spread of COVID-19. Ed and Ash also discuss the yield curve and retracement levels for the S&P. In the intro, Real Vision's Nick Correa talks about the 1957 pandemic, the Eisenhower recession, and how they may intersect.
Real VisionJune 02, 2020
Building the Ultimate Anti-Fragile Portfolio
Wayne Himelsein, CIO of Logica Advisors, joins his partner and Real Vision favorite, Mike Green, to discuss investing through market paradigm shifts and how they design their investment strategy to take advantage of their unique combination of quantitative and qualitative expertise. Himelsein and Green break down the power of non-recourse leverage, how Logica takes advantage of opportunities in the options markets, and their use of anti-momentum strategies after market shocks. They also share their perspective on collaborative investing, the dynamic between catalysts and mean reversion, and the post-COVID-19 market structure. Filmed on May 27, 2020.
Real VisionJune 01, 2020
Daily Briefing - June 1, 2020
Senior editor Ash Bennington hosts managing editor Ed Harrison to discuss how the roiling civil unrest in the U.S. could affect businesses and financial markets. They look at the correlation of the Citi Surprise Index and bond yields, and Ed introduces three historical parallels to compare to the current moment. In the intro, Jack Farley gives an overview of global PMI data and Goldman Sachs’ revised forecast for the S&P 500.

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