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Real VisionAugust 03, 2020
Marko Papic and Mike Green -- The Next Decade for Geopolitics and Markets
We can all remember when geopolitical tensions and trade wars were the most important headlines seeming to move global markets up or down depending upon their tenor, but recently the global pandemic and the associated policy responses have brought the focus home with all eyes squarely on domestic fiscal policy. In this interview with Mike Green of Logica Capital Advisors, Marko Papic, partner and chief strategist at Clocktower Group, looks forward at the coming decade of the 20’s and explores the growing importance of government consumption and investment to GDP, the countries and assets that will emerge as winners and losers from the rewiring of the global economy, and why the cold war is a poor analogy for U.S. relations with China. As well, they discuss why news of the European Union’s death has been greatly exaggerated and much more. Filmed on July 29, 2020.
Real VisionJuly 31, 2020
Daily Briefing - July 31, 2020
Senior editor Ash Bennington hosts Real Vision favorite Mike Green of Logica Capital Advisors. Mike Green gives a strategic update on the markets, and, through the lens of his renowned critique of passive investing, analyzes flow data on ETFs and mutual funds to conclude that the markets could be due for some turmoil in the coming months. Green and Bennington also discuss today’s interview with Green and Rob Arnott, one of the world’s leading quantitative investors. Green also shares his views on "volmaggedon" and the similarities between short-vol and bonds. In the intro, Jack reviews recent FAANG earnings and gives a preview of Jason Buck’s three-part “Ahead of the Curve,” a deep-dive into volatility featuring interviews with Chris Cole, Jerry Haworth, and Bastian Bolesta.
Real VisionJuly 31, 2020
Rob Arnott -- "The S&P 500 Index is a Growth-Tilted, Momentum-Chasing, Active Strategy"
Rob Arnott, founding chairman of Research Affiliates, is one of the most influential quantitative investors and researchers of the last 30 years, having produced over 100 academic papers in a career that began before the term quant had even been coined. In this interview with Mike Green, chief strategist and portfolio manager at Logica Capital Advisors, Arnott argues that the current period is extremely reminiscent of the late 90s, the last time that value investing was declared surely dead. Together Arnott and Green discuss the structural factors related to indexing that have caused the return of calls of the death of value and debate whether these forces can be calmly unwound by the natural mean reverting tendencies of markets or whether the freight train of "passive" indexation has too much steam to be stopped by anything less than a catastrophic crescendo with an abrupt and devastating end. Filmed on July 28, 2020.
Real VisionJuly 31, 2020
The Spirit of St. Louis: A View From Inside the Fed
David Andolfatto, economist and senior vice president at the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, joins Pedro da Costa, senior reporter at Market News International, to give a peek behind the curtain into the Fed’s monetary policy at this unique market juncture. Andolfatto analyzes the most recent economic data and estimates that we are headed towards a “W-shaped” recovery. He then describes the remaining tools the Fed still has at its disposal. Da Costa and Andolfatto also analyze the pandemic as an accelerant of secular trends, such as working from home and rapid adoption of technology, as well of the lasting impacts of this acceleration. They also explore helicopter money, the commoditization of consumer loans, as well as the looming threat of inflation. Filmed on July 10, 2020.

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